Sanjaya was not the point when "American Idol" jumped the shark. It was the addition of Kara DioGuardi. The comments just take too damn long now. Here's the order of how the 10 finalists performed last night, with the odds of winning it all in May:
1. Adam Lambert
Polished look adds a legion of new fans who couldn't get past the hair and jewelry to recognize a great voice. His version of "Tracks of my Tears" will set the record for AI downloads. Miles ahead of everyone.
Odds of winning: 2-1
2. Allison Iraheta
Way, way better than last week. Could see her joining Sly and the Family Stone in a '70s era music festival. Good set of pipes when she finds the right song. Still not convinced she'll go far, but back in the hunt.
Odds of winning: 15-1
3. Danny Gokey
Needs to tone it down a bit and let his voice take center stage, not his physical antics. If I heard this on the radio, I would have thought it was the 1969 Rare Earth version. Better than average voice and one of the favorites.
Odds of winning: 8-1
4. Scott MacIntyre
Simon and Randy were unkind to him on a night when he sang his heart out. Finally exuded confidence with an "in it to win it" performance. Solid enunciation and showed passion, matching his pink pants.
Odds of winning: 15-1
5. Matt Giraud
Motown genre a perfect fit for his gravely, soulful voice. Cool version of Marvin Gaye classic ("Let's Get it On") with controlled, dynamic delivery. Is he more than a one-trick pony? Time will tell. Not convinced otherwise.
Odds of winning: 10-1
6. Anoop Desai
This kid makes me nervous. I feel at any moment he could turn into a disaster, yet for the second week in a row he works through his two minutes, singing softly and on key. Needs to show more confidence.
Odds of winning: 25-1
7. Kris Allen
Jason Mraz, he's not, but he's trying. Thought he was just OK. Performance was kind of shaky and jumpy, and felt poppy and boorish. Tweener vote will keep him around, but he's not anything special.
Odds of winning: 15-1
8. Lil Rounds (bottom 3)
Did you really think she was going to screw up her chance on Motown night? Guess what? She did. Thought she was way over the top and over-sang song. Lots of shouting and forced vocals. Break out the Advil.
Odds of winning: 10-1
9. Michael Sarver (bye, bye)
Oil rig guy is Cinderella past midnight. Thought he could overcome an average voice by working the crowd. The campaigning is over, time to get to work. Likable guy who is ready to get back to his family.
Odds of winning: 35-1
10. Megan Joy Corkrey (bottom 3)
Perfect example of someone to watch with the sound down. Great-looking girl with a voice that borders on scary. Can't tell whether she's singing or talking. It's really just very, very odd. Puzzling.
Odds of winning: 35-1