Here we go again.
The march to May began in earnest this week, 24 young men and women vying to follow the footsteps of Kelly Clarkson, Ruben Studdard, Fantasia Barrino and Carrie Underwood as the next American Idol.
Here's the order of how the 12 male and female finalists performed last night and Tuesday night, with the odds of winning it all in May:
1. Chris Daughtry
Song choice worked wonders for him, going with Bon Jovi's "Dead or Alive." Thought he botched the words in one spot. Daughtry exudes confidence and fits the role as a capable frontman. Best is yet to come.
Odds of winning: 8-1
2. Ace Young
With a retro-grunge look, this Eddie Vedder clone showcased a pure, velvety voice. With his good looks and ability to play the camera, he could be a Constantine with more talent. Definitely in the top 12.
Odds of winning: 8-1
3. Gedeon McKinney
Hated the song choice because it didn't emphasize his voice. "Shout" can be heard in any college beer joint after 2 a.m. There is something magical here though. The kid has pipes and, with the right song choice, will step to forefront.
Odds of winning: 10-1
4. Taylor Hicks
Gotta love this guy. The Joe Cocker influence (or is it John Belushi) along with his candid, who-gives-a-damn demeanor is infectious. He can sing as well (Billy Falcon comparison comes to mind), so couple this with the entertainment factor and "Grey" will stay.
Odds of winning: 15-1
5. Kevin Covais
The geek from Long Island has quite a voice. It's hard to believe those vocals are coming out of him, kind of like how Clay Aiken first came across. Nicely done. Just don't know if the girls will embrace him. Got a protractor?
Odds of winning: 20-1
6. Elliott Yamen
Best male vocalist in five years? What is Simon smoking? Yamen is good, but thought he was kind of average last night. Clearly others were better. Doesn't have looks going for him, but neither did Scott Savol and look how far he went last season.
Odds of winning: 25-1
7. Patrick Hall
It's tough for a guy to sing Melissa Etheridge. Song choice was sketchy, which is the only reason he's this far down. Thought he came across too poppish and happy. Just OK. He'll be back for another chance. Could crack Top 12 if others stumble.
Odds of winning: 25-1
8. Jose "Sway" Penala
Choosing the Earth, Wind and Fire song was gutsy, and he sang it mostly in falsetto -- very tricky indeed. Has a groovy '70s soul voice and good range. Something isn't quite right here. Need to have another listen or two. Not convinced.
Odds of winning: 30-1
9. Bucky Covington
Here's where the talent ends. America is not ready for another Bo, and Bucky ain't no Bo. Loved the Skynyrd song, but thought he growled through it rather than sang it. He was an octave too low and was flat in spots.
Odds of winning: 45-1
10. David Radford
It was like listening to a scratchy 45 on an old Victrola turntable. Twilight zone stuff. "Crazy Little Thing Called Love" just wasn't working. This was pre-Rat Pack. Better than John Stevens, but won't last long. Wrong season, wrong decade, wrong century.
Odds of winning: 50-1
11. Will Makar
So that's what happened to Kevin Arnold. Kid did not sing very well at all. Thought he was flat, off-key and boring. Surprised he made the final 24. Girls will like him and will probably keep him around. Uh-oh. Do we have another Jon Peter Lewis in the mix?
Odds of winning: 75-1
12. Bobby Bennett
Copacabana. Need we say anything else? C'mon, now. This is American Idol. It's the iPod generation. Tributes to family members who have passed on is sweet, but it won't get you to the next round. Great name, dreadful performance.
Odds of winning: 100-1
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On Tuesday night, the girls showed more promise. There was quite a chasm between the best and worst, so hopefully America will recognize this and not vote purely on looks.
1. Lisa Tucker
Incredible, effortless voice. And she's only 16. Thought she sang with ease and precision. Stage presence was poised and professional. Really now, she's just 16? Clear front-runner at this stage. Kind of looks like Paul Stanley.
Odds of winning: 5-1
2. Katharine McPhee
Simon had rave reviews for her, and rightly so. Thought she looked really awkward and wasn't sure what to do with herself, kind of like Julia DeMato in Season 2. Great, great voice. Top 5, for sure.
Odds of winning: 5-1
3. Ayla Brown
Local girl (her mom is Boston newscaster Gail Huff) makes good. Brown is tall, talented and has a confident stage presence. Her voice is pure and sweet, and she rarely misses a note. She'll hang around for a while, and could crack the Top 5.
Odds of winning: 8-1
4. Kinnik Sky
Anyone who sings Barbra Streisand has to be good (well, except Mikalah Gordon). Thought she was clearly one of the best vocalists, and has perhaps the most power. Has Fantasia potential and should make a lot of these girls sweat. Get used to seeing her. Great name too.
Odds of winning: 8-1
5. Paris Bennett
Tons of talent in this little body. Has a strong singing heritage (her mother is Jamecia Bennett and her grandmother is Ann Nesby, both gospel singers). Engaging personality, along with her unique voice, will take her far. Has to be considered an early favorite.
Odds of winning: 8-1
6. Mandisa
Strong voice. Would anchor any gospel choir. Cute interaction with Simon on her weight. Comes across as very sincere and honest, good attributes once America gets to know the players. Thought she was very good, but others were better. At least on Tuesday.
Odds of winning: 15-1
7. Melissa McGhee
She's going to have a problem, as she admitted, because this was the first time America saw her perform. She wasn't given any air time until Tuesday. Does this influence the vote, the lack of a story line? Perhaps. Decent job, but the true talent ended with Mandisa.
Odds of winning: 25-1
8. Heather Cox
Very cute, OK voice. Not good enough for this competition as the top six girls here are really strong. May be convinced with a better choice of songs. Thought she was bland and uninspiring. Looks can only take you so far.
Odds of winning: 50-1
9. Kellie Pickler
Another blonde who got by more with her looks than her voice. Thought she was average and barely memorable. Guy vote may keep her around. Not impressed.
Odds of winning: 50-1
10. Stevie Scott
Kind of boring, but at least was original in a Bjork kind of way. This isn't Iceland, it's Hollywood, so the voters will be tough. Would not be surprised to see her go.
Odds of winning: 75-1
11. Brenna Gethers
Quirky, obnoxious and full of spunk. Kind of annoying. Has a little game going with Simon. Does this keep someone around? Nope. She might last one week, but can't see her much beyond that. Sang a safe song and did nothing to stand out.
Odds of winning: 75-1
12. Becky O'Donohue
She's only here for her looks. Bad call, judges. Too bad she won't stick around. And if she does, that's just wrong. She was painful.
Odds of winning: 100-1